Aleksandr Shevchenko vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAleksandr Shevchenko
#97 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
33 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ฆ๐ทFrancisco Cerundolo
#25 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4Aleksandr Shevchenko and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2024; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shevchenko has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at BMW Open - Munich (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shevchenko | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 14/27 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 21/37 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shevchenko 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shevchenko
๐ค Servebot
Cerundolo
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandr Shevchenko.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2025
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 18, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 5, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shevchenko | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ6 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -7.5% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.97u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km |
| Route | USA | MEX โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Shevchenko's 22%).
| Opponent | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 46 | W 63 64 67 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 26 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 63 36 | W 75 64 |
| Jaume Munar | L 46 16 | L 16 46 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 61 36 61 | W 26 64 62 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 16 | L 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 67 | W 64 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 26 75 16 06 | L 64 36 46 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 46 64 75 | W 63 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dominic Stricker
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Alexandre Muller
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Taro Daniel
Bratislava Challenger ยท Final
Jun 14
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London ยท Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ56 matches
| Metric | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 61% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shevchenko | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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