Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Aleksandar Kovacevic
#89 · 27 yrs · R
32 meetings · sets 1–4
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
4Aleksandar Kovacevic and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2023; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 1 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 12/23 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 19/34 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 30/57 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 7/15 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 27/39 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 17/25 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 12/25 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 0, Cerundolo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -20.2% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kovacevic's 20%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | L 63 57 36 | W 76 36 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 75 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 57 | W 67 63 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 76 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Arthur Gea | W 62 76 | L 76 46 06 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 76 46 06 | W 63 64 67 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 36 36 | W 67 64 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | W 61 75 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 36 | L 36 46 63 64 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 16 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Balshaw
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Karen Khachanov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 61% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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