Alejandro Tabilo vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Novak Djokovic have met 3 times since 2024; Alejandro Tabilo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 4 sets to Djokovic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 2, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Novak Djokovic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 12, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tabilo's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | W 46 64 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 63 63 | L 62 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 57 57 | W 46 61 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 64 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | W 64 16 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 71% |
| Sets won | 52% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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