Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Luca Van Assche have met 1 time since 2026; Alejandro Tabilo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Assche's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 60% | 29/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 39% | 29/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 95% | 38/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +33.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +5.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Assche's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 67 46 | W 63 46 62 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 57 63 46 | L 06 46 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | L 26 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | L 16 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 36 60 16 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 46 75 64 | W 76 26 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | L 67 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 63 | L 36 04 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 63 61 | W 36 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–79 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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