Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title2 meetings ยท sets 3โ3

๐ฆ๐บRinky Hijikata
#85 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Rinky Hijikata have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Hijikata's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 36% | 27/75 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Hijikata
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 6โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -2.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 2,283 mi ยท 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | CHN โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Hijikata's 10%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 46 46 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | L 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 57 64 36 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | W 36 76 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | L 62 36 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | L 36 76 16 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 64 36 57 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ80 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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