Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Llamas RuizPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title1 meeting ยท sets 3โ1

๐ช๐ธPablo Llamas Ruiz
#144 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have met 1 time since 2025; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Ruiz's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Llamas Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 53% | 24/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Ruiz
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -3.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Ruiz's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | W 67 61 64 | L 62 36 16 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | L 16 26 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 63 57 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 64 36 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 36 67 76 06 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Petr Nesterov
Villena Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luca Nardi
Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Raul Brancaccio
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Vitaliy Sachko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Alex Bolt
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ59 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 66% |
| Sets won | 63% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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