Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Federico GaioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title5 meetings · sets 5–7
🇮🇹Federico Gaio
Unranked
119wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Federico Gaio have met 5 times since 2018; Federico Gaio leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Andria in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Gaio leads 3–1. Gaio has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 5 sets to Gaio's 7. Their most recent meeting: Federico Gaio won at Biella 2 Challenger (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Gaio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Federico Gaio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Gaio 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Gaio
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Federico Gaio are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 424 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2021
Biella 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2021
Biella 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 3, 2019
Alicante
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 13, 2019
Marbella
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 10, 2018
Andria
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | - |
| ROI % | +40.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Arnaboldi
Modena Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 2
Filippo Romano
Modena · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 1
Alessandro Dragoni
Modena · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Ivan Gakhov
Milan Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 27
Egor Gerasimov
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 26
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Milan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Blake Mott
Milan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Blake Ellis
Sassuolo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | - |
| Sets won | 63% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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