Federico Gaio vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Gaio and Flavio Cobolli have met 4 times since 2021; Flavio Cobolli leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Todi Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cobolli leads 2–1. Cobolli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Gaio has taken 2 sets to Cobolli's 6. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Olbia Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaio | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Gaio | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 54% | 15/28 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 18% | 4/22 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 34% | 17/50 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 37% | 11/30 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 12/18 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 52% | 12/23 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 92% | 23/25 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 60% | 15/25 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaio 1, Cobolli 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaio
🎯 Baseliner
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2023
Olbia Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 5, 2023
Milan Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2022
Roseto Degli Abruzzi 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 16, 2021
Todi Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaio | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.05 |
| ROI % | - | -0.6% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaio | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | — | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Arnaboldi
Modena Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 2
Filippo Romano
Modena · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 1
Alessandro Dragoni
Modena · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Ivan Gakhov
Milan Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 27
Egor Gerasimov
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 26
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Milan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Blake Mott
Milan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Blake Ellis
Sassuolo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Gaio | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 60% |
| Sets won | - | 55% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaio | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaio | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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