Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title4 meetings ยท sets 7โ3

๐จ๐ฑCristian Garin
#131 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Cristian Garin have met 4 times since 2020; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Santiago Open - Santiago in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. On hard courts Fokina leads 2โ0. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 7 sets to Garin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Garin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Garin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Oct 20, 2021
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 27, 2020
Santiago Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 2โ1 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +39.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Fokina and Garin posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | W 75 60 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 | W 76 75 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 57 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 06 62 06 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 64 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 54% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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