Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Christopher O'ConnellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฆ๐บChristopher O'Connell
#117 ยท 32 yrs ยท R
7w3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Christopher O'Connell have met 1 time since 2024; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to O'Connell's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | O'Connell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Christopher O'Connell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 27% | 12/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 86% | 18/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, O'Connell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
O'Connell
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 27, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | O'Connell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Christopher O'Connell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ2 | 6โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | +24.0% | +26.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.16u | +2.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Fokina and O'Connell posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 26 26 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 46 16 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 64 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 46โ52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 52% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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