Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ben SheltonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπΈAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w3 meetings Β· sets 6β2

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#9 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
TitleAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ben Shelton have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fokina leads 2β0. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 6 sets to Shelton's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Shelton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ben Shelton | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 53% | 25/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Shelton 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
π― Baseliner
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Shelton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ben Shelton | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β4 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 9 |
| Distance | β | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km |
| Route | β | USA β CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fokina's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | W 63 61 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 67 64 75 | W 63 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | W 67 63 64 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 64 67 57 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 64 57 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Semifinals
Jun 26
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 49β55 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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