Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ben SheltonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇺🇸Ben Shelton
#4 · 23 yrs · L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ben Shelton have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fokina leads 2–0. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 6 sets to Shelton's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Shelton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ben Shelton | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 52% | 26/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 53% | 16/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Shelton 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Shelton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ben Shelton | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +9.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +2.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | W 46 63 63 75 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 63 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 63 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 63 57 76 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | L 46 76 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 75 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 36 67 75 26 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | W 76 67 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–65 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 66% |
| Sets won | 63% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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