Akira Santillan vs Alex BoltPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Akira Santillan and Alex Bolt have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Burnie in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Bolt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 5 sets to Bolt's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Alex Bolt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 34/46 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 9/32 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 21/78 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 26/42 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 1, Bolt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
🤖 Servebot
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Akira Santillan and Alex Bolt are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,968 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 2, 2019
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 10, 2017
Kobe
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 2, 2017
Burnie
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Alex Bolt | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -19.3% | -1.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | -0.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Santillan's 25%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Zhu | L | W 67 64 62 |
| Omar Jasika | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Abedallah Shelbayh | L 67 62 06 | L 26 36 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | L 36 00 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Evan Zhu
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Charles Broom
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Jie Cui
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Liam Broady
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Yaroslav Demin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yaroslav Demin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Luca Castelnuovo
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–80 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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