Akira Santillan vs Alex BoltPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Akira Santillan and Alex Bolt have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Burnie in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Bolt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 5 sets to Bolt's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Alex Bolt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 40/51 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 20/82 | 38% | 22/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 30/46 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 44/46 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 1, Bolt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
💥 Big Hitter
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,698 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 2, 2019
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 10, 2017
Kobe
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 2, 2017
Burnie
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Alex Bolt | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | -30.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.68u | -1.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 5 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 7,449 mi · 11,988 km |
| Route | TPE → CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Santillan's 33%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Abedallah Shelbayh | L 67 62 06 | L 26 36 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | L | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaigaoge Kang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Yaojie Zeng
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilya Ivashka
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Omar Jasika
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sanhui Shin
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
James McCabe
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–85 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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