Ajla Tomljanovic vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#108 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
15w33 meetings · sets 3–4
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Daria Kasatkina have met 3 times since 2018; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2018 on clay. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ajla Tomljanovic.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.20 |
| ROI % | - | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Kasatkina's 29%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | L 46 62 36 | W 26 62 61 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 63 | L 62 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 36 75 46 |
| Mariam Bolkvadze | L 26 62 46 | W 67 64 60 |
| Robin Montgomery | L 46 26 | L 75 06 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | L 26 36 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | L 67 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–41 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 51% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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