Ajla Tomljanovic vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w33 meetings · sets 3–4
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Daria Kasatkina have met 3 times since 2018; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2018 on clay. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ajla Tomljanovic.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | -5.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 17%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 63 | L 62 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 36 75 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | L 26 36 |
| Robin Montgomery | L 46 26 | L 75 06 46 |
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | L 46 62 36 | W 62 60 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | L 67 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–37 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 43% |
| Sets won | 54% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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