Adrian Mannarino vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Adrian Mannarino
#67 Β· 38 yrs Β· L
43 meetings Β· sets 4β6

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
4Adrian Mannarino and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2016; Frances Tiafoe leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2β1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
π― Baseliner
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2018
US Open
H Hard Β· Round of 128
Jul 6, 2016
Washington
H Hard Β· Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β9 | 15β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi Β· 1,648 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | W 76 75 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | W 57 62 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 62 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 36 46 57 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 36 63 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | W 76 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51β56 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 66% |
| Sets won | 37% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.