Adrian Mannarino vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2016; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jul 6, 2016
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | W 62 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 64 36 36 57 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | W 64 46 36 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 71% |
| Sets won | 38% | 63% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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