Adrian Mannarino vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Dominic Thiem have met 10 times since 2015; Dominic Thiem leads 9–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Thiem leads 7–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Thiem's 21. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Thiem 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Dominic Thiem are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2021
Mallorca
G Grass · Round of 16
Jan 21, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 11, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 1, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
May 18, 2016
Nice
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 3, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 31, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | - |
| ROI % | +20.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | - |
| Sets won | 38% | - |
| Games won | 46% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 7 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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