Adrian Mannarino vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Dominic Thiem have met 10 times since 2015; Dominic Thiem leads 9–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Thiem leads 7–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Thiem's 21. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Thiem 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Dominic Thiem are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Jun 15, 2021
Mallorca
G Grass · Round of 16
Jan 21, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 11, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 1, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
May 18, 2016
Nice
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 3, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 31, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 7 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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