Adrian Mannarino vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov have met 4 times since 2017; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–1. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Shapovalov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2017
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Shapovalov posted a 14% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | W 26 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | L 76 46 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 46 26 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 64 46 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 62 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 47% |
| Sets won | 37% | 44% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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