Adrian Mannarino vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov have met 5 times since 2017; Denis Shapovalov leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 4–1. Shapovalov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 4 sets to Shapovalov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Shapovalov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2017
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 7 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 75 36 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 75 61 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | W 64 46 64 61 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 67 76 36 46 |
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | W 26 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | L 76 46 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 56% |
| Sets won | 38% | 52% |
| Games won | 46% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
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