Adam Walton vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2025; Rei Sakamoto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Walton has taken 0 sets to Sakamoto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rei Sakamoto won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 35% | 22/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Sakamoto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | -0.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,061 mi · 1,708 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Walton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Sakamoto's 44%).
| Opponent | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | L 67 64 36 46 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 61 63 | W 64 63 |
| Timo Legout | W 62 62 | L 46 36 |
| Liam Draxl | W 64 64 | W 63 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | L 76 36 16 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 67 67 | W 64 36 76 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 76 67 62 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 63 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Brandon Holt | L 46 36 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Jurij Rodionov
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Ugo Blanchet
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Michael Mmoh
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Aidan Mayo
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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