Adam Walton vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Marin Cilic have met 1 time since 2025; Marin Cilic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Walton has taken 0 sets to Cilic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Basel (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jinan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.82 or shorter, Adam Walton has won 56 of 100 (56%). The price implied 59%, so Adam Walton has fallen 3 points short of it.
At 1.90 or longer, Marin Cilic has won 27 of 70 (39%). The price implied 42%, so Marin Cilic has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Marin Cilic meets Adam Walton in the 1st Round of the Jinan Challenger on October 12, 2026. The hard court encounter pits the world number 80 against Walton, ranked 98th. Cilic holds a 1-0 head-to-head record from their sole prior meeting.
Walton has won 3 of his last 5 matches and 4 of his last 10, while Cilic has managed just 1 win in five and 3 in ten. Walton's recent hard court record stands at 11-9 (55%), compared to Cilic's 9-11 (45%). Both players have hit losing streaks entering Jinan: Cilic has lost four straight matches and arrives after just one match in the past two weeks, while Walton is on a two-match slide but has seen action in five matches over the same span.
Cilic relies on a powerful serve to control points and set up opportunities from the baseline. Adam Walton plays an aggressive all-court style, using heavy hitting to dictate rallies and shorten points. The matchup tests Cilic's ability to convert break chances against a player who moves through court quickly and punishes passive tennis, while Walton must maintain consistency and avoid unforced errors against a server who thrives on first-serve dominance.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 29/46 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 18, 2025
Basel
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Walton and Cilic posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Moise Kouame | W 61 64 | L 67 26 16 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | L 16 26 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 76 26 | L 67 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | W 75 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 26 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–80 matches
| Metric | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 49% |
| Sets won | 52% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |