ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Humbert
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Ugo Humbert plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.02 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -4.8% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.62u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Humbert
1
Nakashima
Oct 28, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 27, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
May 7, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Humbert and Nakashima posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 75 36 | W 62 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 75 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 36 | W 75 63 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 26 76 76 | W 76 62 |
| Elias Ymer | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 67 | W 62 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 63 67 46 |
| Coleman Wong | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 36 16 | L 67 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.3% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 77.7% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.2% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 7.4 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.2% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 49% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.8 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 84.1% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Ugo Humbert leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Ugo Humbert is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Marin Cilic (Jun 16).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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