ATP 250 · 2nd Round Qualifying · Adelaide
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Nicolas Jarry.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | +18.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Paul
2
Jarry
May 17, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 31, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2020
Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Jarry's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| Elmer Moller | W 63 63 61 | W 62 36 60 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 63 | L 67 16 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 26 36 | W 63 64 36 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 46 64 63 | W 62 62 63 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 62 | L 61 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 65.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 78.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 62.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 52.3% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 55.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 16 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 87.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 10
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Nicolas Jarry face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Adelaide on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
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