ATP Masters 1000 · Semifinals · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Nicolas Jarry plays Tommy Paul.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jarry | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | +0.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Jarry
1
Paul
May 17, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 31, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2020
Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Jarry's 50%).
| Opponent | Jarry | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 64 36 | W 76 63 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 36 60 | W 63 63 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 16 | W 76 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 63 64 36 76 | L 26 36 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 62 63 | W 46 64 63 |
| Pedro Martinez | L 61 46 36 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jarry | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.5% | 63.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.1% | 71.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 51% |
| Aces / Match | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.9% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 55.1% | 47.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 16 | 28.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 87.5% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 75% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 10
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Nicolas Jarry and Tommy Paul face off in the Semifinals at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Nicolas Jarry leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
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