ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Daniil Medvedev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.59u | -1.36u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
1
Paul
4
Medvedev
Mar 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 14, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 29, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 2, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Paul and Medvedev posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Paul | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 63 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 75 | L 46 76 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 62 64 | W 36 76 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 63 | L 26 61 16 61 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 26 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | W 63 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 46 76 | W 63 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 57 | W 63 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 46 64 76 | W 62 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.5% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.6% | 62.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 43.5% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.5 | 24.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 69% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 73% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Tommy Paul leads 1-4 over 5 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
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