ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Tommy Paul.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +1.59u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Medvedev
1
Paul
Mar 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 14, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 29, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 2, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Paul posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 62 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | W 63 62 64 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | W 26 63 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 57 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 62 | W 75 46 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 67 46 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 46 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 48.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 43.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 25.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
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