ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Canada
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 446 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Carlos Alcaraz.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.59u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Paul
5
Alcaraz
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 3, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 10, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 17, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 28, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 10, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | L 64 76 46 67 57 | W 61 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 26 63 63 | W 75 62 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 61 46 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 63 36 26 | W 62 64 60 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 76 36 76 16 | W 63 60 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 46 36 | L 36 75 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 26 36 | W 64 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 61 62 | W 64 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 63 | W 67 75 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 63 | W 63 76 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.5% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.6% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 43.5% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.5 | 21.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 29.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 62.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Canada on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zachary Svajda (Jun 15).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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