ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Basel
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wawrinka
🎯 Baseliner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Stan Wawrinka plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wawrinka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -50.7% | -30.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.55u | -3.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Wawrinka
0
Nakashima
Oct 16, 2024
Stockholm
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 14, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 27, 2022
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Wawrinka's 30%).
| Opponent | Wawrinka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 67 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 36 46 | W 62 67 26 62 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 46 76 46 | W 76 63 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 63 | W 63 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 62 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 64 | W 76 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 26 76 75 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 26 46 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Wawrinka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 63.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 74.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.1 | 6.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.3% | 34.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.1% | 55.4% |
| BP Converted % | 43.9% | 52.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.8 | 23.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.5 | 22.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.1% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Stefano Travaglia
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Sebastian Ofner
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Stan Wawrinka and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 16 at Basel on Hard.
Stan Wawrinka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Stan Wawrinka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jesper de Jong (May 25).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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