Grand Slam · Round of 64 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Reilly Opelka plays Lorenzo Musetti.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Opelka
1
Musetti
Aug 27, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 12, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 2, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Opelka's 38%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | L 63 57 16 | W 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 62 75 64 |
| Tomas Machac | W 76 67 63 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 57 46 | L 46 16 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 75 36 75 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 46 | L 75 46 67 |
| Francisco Comesana | L 76 46 57 | W 64 60 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 75 76 | W 63 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.9% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 10.5 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.5% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 10.8% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 18.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 24.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.8% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Round of 64 at US Open on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
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