Grand Slam · Round of 128 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Reilly Opelka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Musetti
3
Opelka
Aug 27, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 12, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 2, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Opelka's 38%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 63 57 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | W 76 67 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | L 46 57 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | W 76 64 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 75 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 60 | L 76 46 57 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 61 | W 63 75 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 69.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 78.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 10.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 33.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 24% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 36.7% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 10.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 77.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Reilly Opelka face off in the Round of 128 at US Open on Hard.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
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