WTA 500 · Semifinals · Sydney
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Paula Badosa plays Daria Kasatkina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -11.9% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Badosa
3
Kasatkina
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Apr 17, 2023
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2022
San Jose
H Hard · Semifinals
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L | L 36 63 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 75 | L 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.4% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 34.8% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 7.2 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.1% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.1% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 45.3% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Semifinals at Sydney on Hard.
Paula Badosa leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Paula Badosa is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Linda Noskova (Jun 19).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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