WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daria Kasatkina plays Paula Badosa.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | -11.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | -1.19u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Kasatkina
3
Badosa
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Apr 17, 2023
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2022
San Jose
H Hard · Semifinals
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 36 63 67 | L |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | W 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 70.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 34.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 7.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 33.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 39.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 53.7% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 45.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa face off in the Round of 16 at Rome on Clay.
Daria Kasatkina leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Paula Badosa is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Linda Noskova (Jun 19).
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