ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Open Occitanie
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Kecmanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Miomir Kecmanovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -1.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Busta
2
Kecmanovic
Feb 3, 2026
Open Occitanie
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 21, 2022
Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kecmanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Busta's 17%).
| Opponent | Busta | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | W 76 63 |
| Leandro Riedi | L 67 46 | W 63 62 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 46 64 75 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | W 61 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 26 46 | L 75 36 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | L 57 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 46.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 52.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 25.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.1% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 32.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 25.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 72.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 46% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Miomir Kecmanovic face off in the Round of 32 at Open Occitanie on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Miomir Kecmanovic is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Fabian Marozsan (Jun 16).
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