Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Miomir Kecmanovic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2022; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kecmanovic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kecmanovic has taken 5 sets to Busta's 3. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kecmanovic | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Miomir Kecmanovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 28/53 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 12/36 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kecmanovic 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 3, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kecmanovic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Miomir Kecmanovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | -45.3% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | -6.34u | -2.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kecmanovic's 44%).
| Opponent | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 63 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 36 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 67 63 67 | W 63 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 46 64 46 16 | W 63 76 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 62 36 62 | L |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 67 16 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | L 63 57 57 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 36 63 46 | W 57 75 75 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 64 | W 64 26 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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