Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Miomir Kecmanovic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2022; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kecmanovic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kecmanovic has taken 5 sets to Busta's 3. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kecmanovic | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Miomir Kecmanovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 17/26 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 27/51 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kecmanovic 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Miomir Kecmanovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 3, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 21, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kecmanovic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Miomir Kecmanovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.08 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -34.9% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kecmanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Busta's 33%).
| Opponent | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 67 16 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | L 63 57 57 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 36 63 46 | W 57 75 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 63 | L 26 16 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 64 | W 64 26 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 46 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 65% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.