ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Naples
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kecmanovic
🤖 Servebot
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Miomir Kecmanovic plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Kecmanovic
1
Busta
Feb 3, 2026
Open Occitanie
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 21, 2022
Naples
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kecmanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Busta's 17%).
| Opponent | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 63 | L 26 16 |
| Leandro Riedi | W 63 62 | L 67 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 64 | W 64 26 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 46 64 75 | L 64 57 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 75 36 46 | L 46 26 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 46 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kecmanovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.2% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.2% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.8% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 32.8% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.3 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.8 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.7% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Miomir Kecmanovic and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Quarterfinals at Naples on Hard.
Miomir Kecmanovic leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Miomir Kecmanovic is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Fabian Marozsan (Jun 16).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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