ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Metz
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for David Goffin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +9.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | +0.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Busta
2
Goffin
Mar 25, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 12, 2019
Metz
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 31, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Busta and Goffin posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | L 16 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 62 76 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | L 36 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 67 64 63 75 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | W 76 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 26 46 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 52.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 36.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 34.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 43.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 25.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 41.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 70.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 49% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and David Goffin face off in the Round of 16 at Metz on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
David Goffin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Toby Samuel (May 20).
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