Grand Slam · 2nd Round Qualifying · Roland Garros
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samuel
🧱 The Wall
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,636 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for David Goffin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samuel | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | +13.4% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.14u | -1.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Samuel
0
Goffin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samuel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Goffin's 0%).
| Opponent | Samuel | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 76 76 | L 64 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Samuel | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.8% | 52.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.1% | 61.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 45.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47% | 28.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.1% | 31.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.1% | 43.8% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 42% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16.5 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.3 | 39.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.5% | 58.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47% | 44.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 44% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Martin Damm
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
David Goffin
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Gonzalo Bueno
Roland Garros · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 21
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare · Round of 32
May 6
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Thomas Faurel
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 30
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Match summary
Toby Samuel and David Goffin meet in the 2nd Round Qualifying of Roland Garros on May 19 on clay. Samuel ranks 159th on the ATP, while Goffin sits at 247th. The two have never faced each other.
Samuel has won 2 of his last 5 matches but is riding a three-match losing streak after 16 days away from competition. Goffin has struggled more recently, winning just 1 of his last 10 and also on a three-match slide, with 22 days since his last outing. Both players own mixed clay records on the sample; Samuel stands at 4-4 while Goffin is 9-11. Samuel beat Joel Schwaerzler in a prior meeting, a player Goffin lost to.
Samuel plays a patient, defensive style built on consistency and depth of court. Goffin relies on aggressive groundstrokes and pace off the ground. On clay, Samuel's containment game can wear opponents down over long rallies, while Goffin will seek to shorten points and dictate with power. The match will test whether Goffin can sustain his rhythm and tempo without extended baseline exchanges, and whether Samuel can neutralize that aggression through movement and positioning.
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