Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Roland Garros
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
⚙️ Grinder
Samuel
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Toby Samuel.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -19.2% | +22.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | +3.78u |
First career meeting
Minaur and Samuel have never faced each other on tour.
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.9% | 60.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.1% | 62.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.2% | 51% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.9% | 48.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.8% | 33% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 47.1% |
| BP Converted % | 32.2% | 45.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 17.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.5 | 34 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.4% | 63% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 55% | 50% |
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Match summary
Alex de Minaur meets Toby Samuel in the Round of 128 at Roland Garros on May 25 over outdoor clay. De Minaur, ranked ninth, carries a three-match winning streak and a 60% win rate across his last ten matches. Samuel, ranked 159th, has not played in 18 days and comes off three straight losses.
The two have never met. De Minaur has won 12 of 20 clay matches in his recent sample, while Samuel holds a 50% record on the surface across a smaller pool of matches. De Minaur has competed in three matches over the past two weeks; Samuel has played none in his last fourteen days.
De Minaur operates as a baseline player who constructs points with consistency and retrieves well from deep in the court. Samuel relies on defensive solidity and patience, preferring to wear opponents down rather than dictate. The match will test whether Samuel can regain sharpness after his layoff against a player who has found rhythm through recent play.
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