ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Ostra Group Open By Porsche Servisni Centrum Ostrava
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brancaccio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Samuel
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,946 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Raul Brancaccio here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brancaccio | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | -7.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.87u | -0.87u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Brancaccio
1
Samuel
Apr 28, 2026
Ostra Group Open By Porsche Servisni Centrum Ostrava
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 3, 2026
ITC Crete Challenger
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samuel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Brancaccio's 67%).
| Opponent | Brancaccio | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Broady | W 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Jay Clarke | W 63 64 | W 46 76 60 |
| Dali Blanch | W 63 06 76 | W 76 75 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | L 57 64 57 | W 63 75 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 67 61 62 | W 62 64 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 62 16 67 | W 75 46 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Brancaccio | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.2% | 61.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.3% | 64.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 51.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.5% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.8% | 29.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.1% | 46.1% |
| BP Converted % | 36.2% | 49.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.7 | 22.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.9 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.2% | 53.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.4% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 52% | 58% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 15
Roberto Carballes Baena
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Pierluigi Basile
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Liam Broady
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 10
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Match summary
Raul Brancaccio meets Toby Samuel on April 27 in the Round of 32 at the Ostra Group Open By Porsche Servisni Centrum Ostrava, a clay event in the Czech Republic. Brancaccio, ranked 251st, comes in off a two-match losing streak after 15 days away from competition. Samuel, ranked 163rd, arrives having won four of his last five matches, though he too suffered a loss in his most recent outing 16 days ago.
The pair have met once before, with Samuel claiming that victory. Both players have gone 3-2 in their last five matches overall. Samuel has been the sharper performer in a larger sample, posting 8 wins in his last 10 compared to Brancaccio's 6 wins in the same span.
Both men rely on baseline consistency and defensive depth rather than explosive shot-making. Brancaccio holds a 55% clay record in recent play; Samuel sits at 67% on the surface. Samuel's recent run of wins and stability on clay will test whether Brancaccio can arrest his current form and convert his baseline game into points over the course of a full match.
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