David Goffin vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
David Goffin and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Goffin has taken 5 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Goffin | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | David Goffin | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 5/8 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 10/22 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 1/7 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Goffin 0, Carreno Busta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 12, 2019
Metz
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 31, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Goffin and Busta posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 62 76 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–65 matches
| Metric | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 65% |
| Sets won | 43% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Goffin | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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