Grand Slam · Round of 32 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pablo Carreno Busta plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Busta
0
Minaur
Sep 3, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
May 29, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 70%).
| Opponent | Busta | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | W 76 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 64 16 26 26 | L 36 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | L 60 26 26 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 63 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | W 62 46 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 64 63 | W 62 62 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 36 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 51.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 57.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 30% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 76.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 32 at US Open on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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