ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,045 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Frances Tiafoe here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | +9.1% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.46u | +1.18u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Arnaldi
1
Tiafoe
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Arnaldi and Tiafoe posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 36 46 57 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 76 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 46 63 57 | W 76 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 75 64 | W 64 36 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 46 46 | L 76 26 16 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 26 | L 63 16 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 46 | L 46 36 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 46 62 76 | W 63 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57% | 61.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.1% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 53.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 6.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53% | 59.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 27.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.7% | 52.3% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 37.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.8 | 21.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35 | 25.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65% | 74.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Sardegna Open · Final
May 3
Eliot Spizzirri
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Diego Dedura
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Ignacio Buse
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Frances Tiafoe face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tallon Griekspoor (May 26).
Frances Tiafoe is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Eliot Spizzirri (May 25).
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