Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Roland Garros
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,433 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tallon Griekspoor here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Griekspoor | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +33.8% | +9.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.39u | +1.46u |
First career meeting
Griekspoor and Arnaldi have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Arnaldi's 22%).
| Opponent | Griekspoor | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 62 64 | L 36 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 64 63 | L 76 36 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 75 76 | L 16 76 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 76 | L 46 26 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 67 26 | W 57 26 63 64 62 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 36 76 67 | L 57 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 03 | L 46 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 64 67 36 | W 64 76 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 36 64 36 | L 57 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Griekspoor | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.2% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 7.6 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47.7% | 53% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 34.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.5% | 50.7% |
| BP Converted % | 35.4% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27.5 | 23.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.2 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.1% | 65% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 33% | 57% |
Last five matches per player
Raphael Collignon
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Semifinals
May 14
Alex Molcan
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Quarterfinals
May 12
Benjamin Bonzi
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 9
Alexander Blockx
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Lorenzo Musetti
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Sardegna Open · Final
May 3
Gianluca Cadenasso
Sardegna Open · Semifinals
May 2
Match summary
Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi meet in the Round of 128 at Roland Garros on May 25, with the match played on outdoor clay. Griekspoor ranks 33rd while Arnaldi sits at 104. The two have never faced each other on tour.
Griekspoor has won two of his last three matches but posted a 40% win rate over his past five and ten contests. Arnaldi has played sharper tennis lately, winning four of his last five matches and seven of ten. Against recent common opponents, their records split: Griekspoor beat Molcan and Bonzi while Arnaldi defeated Auger-Aliassime and de Jong, though Griekspoor also topped Halys in that group.
Griekspoor is a server-oriented player who relies on his first serve to dictate points, while Matteo Arnaldi operates as a clay-court grinder who builds rallies and absorbs pressure. On clay, Griekspoor carries a 50% record over a recent sample; Arnaldi stands at 55%. The match asks whether Griekspoor can convert his service games into quick holds, or whether Arnaldi's baseline consistency can outlast that approach over three sets.
Get $25 free
New accounts only. Create a Kalshi account and predict match outcomes.
Claim offerShare this match
