ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Sardegna Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Cadenasso
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 61% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,020 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Matteo Arnaldi here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +47.1% | -2.3% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | -0.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Arnaldi
0
Cadenasso
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cadenasso's 50%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | W 64 57 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 61 57 76 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 58.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 45.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 45.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.5% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 42.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 13.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.4 | 29.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.4% | 65.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 45.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 55% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Match summary
Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso meet in the Sardegna Open semifinals on Saturday on clay. Arnaldi, ranked 103rd, arrives on a three-match winning streak after four matches in two weeks. Cadenasso, ranked 232nd, has won three straight and played five matches in the same span, posting a 70% win rate over his last ten.
The two have never faced each other. Both have won against Jesper de Jong on clay; Arnaldi defeated Hugo Gaston while Cadenasso lost to him. Cadenasso's recent form is sharp at 80% over five matches, while Arnaldi has won four of his last ten overall.
Arnaldi constructs points methodically from the baseline, grinding rallies until openings arrive. Cadenasso plays with intensity and aggression, seeking to finish points early. Arnaldi holds a 55% win rate on clay over a recent sample; Cadenasso's is 60%. The match will test whether Cadenasso's momentum and offensive patterns can overpower Arnaldi's consistency and court positioning.
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