Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Roland Garros
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Matteo Arnaldi plays Andrey Rublev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | +47.1% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | -1.33u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Arnaldi
3
Rublev
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 11, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
May 31, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 26, 2023
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rublev's 60%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 76 | W 75 76 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 57 63 62 | W 63 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 67 63 76 63 | L 57 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 26 63 62 | L 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 75 75 | W 62 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 63 62 57 46 36 | L 36 67 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 61 57 76 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.4 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.4% | 61.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Andrey Rublev face off in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros on Clay.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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