Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Andrey Rublev plays Matteo Arnaldi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | +8.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Rublev
1
Arnaldi
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 11, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
May 31, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 26, 2023
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rublev's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 76 76 | W 63 67 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 26 63 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 75 75 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | L 63 62 57 46 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 62 63 | W 61 57 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Andrey Rublev leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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