WTA 500 · Semifinals · Washington
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Marie Bouzkova plays Aryna Sabalenka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | -22.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -4.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Bouzkova
3
Sabalenka
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Dec 30, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 29, 2024
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Bouzkova's 56%).
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Polina Kudermetova | W | W 76 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 62 62 | W |
| Ann Li | L 36 57 | W 76 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 26 | W 76 64 |
| Linda Noskova | W 26 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 64 76 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 26 57 | W 63 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bouzkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.6% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44.6% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.6% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.8% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 42.8% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marie Bouzkova and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Semifinals at Washington on Hard.
Marie Bouzkova leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Marie Bouzkova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tatjana Maria (Jun 19).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
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