WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Maria Sakkari plays Aryna Sabalenka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -14.4% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | -3.19u |
Prior meetings and scores · 10 career meetings
3
Sakkari
7
Sabalenka
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2023
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 10, 2021
Guadalajara Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 24, 2020
Doha
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 17, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 22, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sakkari's 20%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L | W 63 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 67 46 | W |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 26 06 | W |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | W 63 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | L 36 16 | W 75 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | W 64 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 63 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 62 | W 63 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 46 | W 64 26 63 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sakkari | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.7% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 56.2% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.9% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.7% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 74.8% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44.6% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Maria Sakkari and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Round of 16 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Maria Sakkari leads 3-7 over 10 previous meetings.
Maria Sakkari is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Qinwen Zheng (Jun 15).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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