WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Maria Sakkari.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -14.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -2.01u |
Prior meetings and scores · 10 career meetings
7
Sabalenka
3
Sakkari
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2023
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 10, 2021
Guadalajara Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 24, 2020
Doha
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 17, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 22, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sakkari's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | L 67 46 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W | L 26 06 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 75 76 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | L 36 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 63 46 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | W 64 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 64 26 63 | L 57 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 76 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 60.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 56.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 46.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 46.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 74.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 44.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Sakkari face off in the Semifinals at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 7-3 over 10 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Maria Sakkari is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Qinwen Zheng (Jun 15).
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