ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Orlando
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Mackenzie McDonald plays Elias Ymer.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -1.58u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
McDonald
1
Ymer
Feb 21, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 12, 2020
Orlando
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ymer's 20%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Grenier | W 76 61 | L 63 16 46 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | W 76 76 |
| Brandon Holt | W 63 46 76 | L 67 36 |
| Harold Mayot | W 63 76 | L 36 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 76 46 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 61.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.2% | 71.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 48.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.9% | 25.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.4 | 17.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.4 | 23.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.2% | 73.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.1% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Elias Ymer face off in the Round of 16 at Orlando on Hard.
Mackenzie McDonald leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Elias Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Henry Searle (Jun 8).
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