ATP 500 · 1st Round Qualifying · Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🎾 All-Court
McDonald
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 1,210 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +69.6% | -35.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.48u | -4.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Ymer
2
McDonald
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ymer's 20%).
| Opponent | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | W 76 76 | L 36 63 36 |
| Hugo Grenier | L 63 16 46 | W 76 61 |
| Brandon Holt | L 67 36 | W 63 46 76 |
| Harold Mayot | L 36 16 | W 63 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 26 26 | L 67 76 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.9% | 57.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.4% | 47% |
| Aces / Match | 6.8 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.2% | 52.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 22.5% | 24.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.6% | 43.9% |
| BP Converted % | 31.2% | 26.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 15.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.4% | 58.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 43.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 44% |
Last five matches per player
Coleman Wong
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Brandon Nakashima
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC · Round of 32
Feb 23
Nicolas Mejia
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 22
Mackenzie McDonald
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Qatar ExxonMobil Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Jenson Brooksby
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 30
Matchup overview
Elias Ymer and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the 1st Round Qualifying at Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Hard.
Elias Ymer leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Elias Ymer is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Coleman Wong (Mar 2).
Mackenzie McDonald is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lloyd Harris (Apr 20).
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