ATP 500 · 1st Round Qualifying · Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 4,349 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Ymer
2
McDonald
Feb 21, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 12, 2020
Orlando
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ymer's 20%).
| Opponent | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | W 76 76 | L 36 63 36 |
| Hugo Grenier | L 63 16 46 | W 76 61 |
| Brandon Holt | L 67 36 | W 63 46 76 |
| Harold Mayot | L 36 16 | W 63 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 26 26 | L 67 76 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ymer | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.8% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.9% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.4% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.4% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.6% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.3% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 42.3% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.2 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.4% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.2% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Elias Ymer and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the 1st Round Qualifying at Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Hard.
Elias Ymer leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Elias Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Niels Visker (Jun 8).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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