Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,936 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -1.01u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
McDonald
1
Ymer
Feb 21, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 12, 2020
Orlando
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ymer's 20%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Grenier | W 76 61 | L 63 16 46 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | W 76 76 |
| Brandon Holt | W 63 46 76 | L 67 36 |
| Harold Mayot | W 63 76 | L 36 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 76 46 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 61.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.2% | 71.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 48.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.9% | 25.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.5 | 16.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.5 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63% | 66.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.1% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Elias Ymer face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Mackenzie McDonald leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Elias Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Niels Visker (Jun 8).
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