WTA 250 · Round of 32 · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 901 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Katerina Siniakova here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -3.9% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Siniakova
5
Kasatkina
Sep 15, 2025
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Oct 14, 2024
Ningbo
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 18, 2022
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 14, 2020
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 13, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 16, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 17%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 62 62 | L |
| Simona Waltert | W | L 67 63 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 36 62 67 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 46 | L 57 64 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 75 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 26 | L 06 64 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Siniakova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.7% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71.9% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 43.4% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.3% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 55% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Katerina Siniakova and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 32 at Hamburg on Clay.
Katerina Siniakova leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Katerina Siniakova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 17).
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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